There are a couple of metrics that one has to consider: there is the CASE fatality rate, which is the number of deaths among identified cases, and then there is the Infection Fatality Rate (Infection Fatality Ratio).
The CFR is always going to be larger than the IFR, because identified cases will always be a subset of total infections.
Computationally, the key distinction between the CFR and the IFR is the statistical derivation of the IFR values vs the empirical observation for the CFR values.
If the CFR is rising by 3x, and 60-70% of infections are no longer reported, that resembles very much a computational artifact of 2/3 of cases being removed from the denominator in the CFR calculation. That would not necessarily indicate an increase in virulence (in fact it indicates the opposite), and the decline in reported cases itself indicates a decline in pathogenicity.
But even without that artifact, and even if there were an increase in virulence (which, let us be realistic, will eventually happen with a future variant of the SARS-CoV-2 virus), we are still dealing with an endemic infectious respiratory pathogen. While the seriousness of the threat posed by that pathogen is something that must be individually assessed by each one of us, however we choose to deal with that threat one thing is absolutely certain: life must go on.
Einige argumentieren – mit Recht –, dass das derzeitige Washingtoner Regime bereits darauf bedacht ist, alle zu töten, da seine COVID-19-Politik weiterhin der Logik, Vernunft und wissenschaftlichen Überprüfung widerspricht.
Es wird immer schwieriger, diese Vorstellung zu ignorieren, egal wie erschreckend sie ist.
Very interesting! Just keep one thing in mind: the UK ended its free Covid testing on March 31.
The US mailed everyone rapid tests. So people no longer have reportable positives, even though that are actually sick.
Based on my analysis of case fatality rate, which increased by 3 times or so lately, about 60-70% of infections are no longer reported.
There are a couple of metrics that one has to consider: there is the CASE fatality rate, which is the number of deaths among identified cases, and then there is the Infection Fatality Rate (Infection Fatality Ratio).
https://www.researchgate.net/publication/343889424_Review_of_calculated_SARS-CoV-2_infection_fatality_rates_Good_CDC_science_versus_dubious_CDC_science_the_actual_risk_that_does_not_justify_the_cure_-_By_Prof_Joseph_Audie
The CFR is always going to be larger than the IFR, because identified cases will always be a subset of total infections.
Computationally, the key distinction between the CFR and the IFR is the statistical derivation of the IFR values vs the empirical observation for the CFR values.
If the CFR is rising by 3x, and 60-70% of infections are no longer reported, that resembles very much a computational artifact of 2/3 of cases being removed from the denominator in the CFR calculation. That would not necessarily indicate an increase in virulence (in fact it indicates the opposite), and the decline in reported cases itself indicates a decline in pathogenicity.
But even without that artifact, and even if there were an increase in virulence (which, let us be realistic, will eventually happen with a future variant of the SARS-CoV-2 virus), we are still dealing with an endemic infectious respiratory pathogen. While the seriousness of the threat posed by that pathogen is something that must be individually assessed by each one of us, however we choose to deal with that threat one thing is absolutely certain: life must go on.
Kultur der Angst
Bald werden wir ein Regime erleben, das darauf bedacht ist, jeden zu
vernichten, der es wagte, Widerstand zu leisten!
Einige argumentieren – mit Recht –, dass das derzeitige Washingtoner Regime bereits darauf bedacht ist, alle zu töten, da seine COVID-19-Politik weiterhin der Logik, Vernunft und wissenschaftlichen Überprüfung widerspricht.
Es wird immer schwieriger, diese Vorstellung zu ignorieren, egal wie erschreckend sie ist.