It's a cold comfort, but WW3 is far more likely to be triggered by Iran than China.
One strategic reality Xi Jinping cannot ignore: 75% of China's oil comes through the Malacca Strait. China does not have any blue water naval capacity to defend the Strait, which means any war between China and the US or India causes China to deindustriali…
It's a cold comfort, but WW3 is far more likely to be triggered by Iran than China.
One strategic reality Xi Jinping cannot ignore: 75% of China's oil comes through the Malacca Strait. China does not have any blue water naval capacity to defend the Strait, which means any war between China and the US or India causes China to deindustrialize in 9-12 months and very likely suffers a crippling famine at about 18 months. Two years after China invades Taiwan the CCP ceases to exist.
It's a cold comfort, but WW3 is far more likely to be triggered by Iran than China.
One strategic reality Xi Jinping cannot ignore: 75% of China's oil comes through the Malacca Strait. China does not have any blue water naval capacity to defend the Strait, which means any war between China and the US or India causes China to deindustrialize in 9-12 months and very likely suffers a crippling famine at about 18 months. Two years after China invades Taiwan the CCP ceases to exist.