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In Shanghai, Beijing and Guangzhou at least among the working population we see no evidence at all of anyone suffering from an obvious symptomatic "reinfection". On the contrary, sick leave numbers have been extremely low since the start of 2023. I guess 3% is not so much, but I am not aware of a single case, either from those who were infected in the spring of 2022 or from those who did their time in December.

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I wouldn't trust any statistics from China. If there are increased hospitalizations maybe it's partially because people get scared when they have a positive PCR test and reflexively feel that going to the hospital is the best course of action (not to mention being told to go by public health officials merely on the basis of these bogus "positive" tests). But more probable is what has been going on in China for years: massive cases of respiratory illness due to environmental poisoning (e.g. air pollution). The illness can be any variation of a serious respiratory illness always ascribed to "Covid" and nothing else. This way the government can deflect people from examining the real causes of illness by repackaging it as something caused by a deadly "killer" virus.

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It's less a question of trusting the statistics as of reconciling what is being said about the statistics to the experiences with COVID elsewhere.

Simply put, there is no reasonable scenario where all the data points being advanced on China's "first wave" can all be true, or even halfway accurate. 80% of the total population infected during this wave is improbable on its face, but even more than that it makes their official death count categorically unbelievable. A surge in hospitalizations does not reconcile with cases having peaked two weeks earlier.

And while much of the data in the west is also suspect, China's data is even more suspect.

Still, at some point this COVID wave will peak in China, after which cases, hospitalizations, and deaths will recede. That much is mathematically certain, even if it has not happened yet. With or without the 80% infection figure being accurate, the natural trajectory of an infectious respiratory disease is such that, after a certain period of time, it naturally peaks and recedes--and with the outbreak in China into its third month, that natural inevitable peak is almost certainly close (regardless of what the actual numbers might be at the time of that peak).

We don't need to trust the data in order to critique it and grasp its inherent unreality. It is almost certain China is lying about some numbers. The only questions are which numbers and who else is lying besides China?

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I do not believe any of these people are sick from "Covid." It's a complete fabrication based on computer simulations.

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