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Peter Nayland Kust's avatar

With oil prices continuing to sag and the CPI at a 2-year low, there is a distinct possibility we are already seeing deflationary forces becoming influential.

The tell will be if prices stabilize or if they keep on falling.

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Gbill7's avatar

I just came from the grocery store, and prices are still climbing on certain benchmark products I keep track of. There’s something of a lag between wholesale prices and the retail prices, so I will watch to see if prices start to fall next week and next month. I’m wondering if there is a reliable correlation between how *fast* prices drop and how *far* they will drop. I suppose not. We haven’t had real deflation since the 1930s, so who knows the pattern of unraveling. It will be interesting to see how people react, though.

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