8 Comments
⭠ Return to thread

“There seem to be three possible scenarios around which the history of the next half century will be written:

In the first, communism, meeting neither ideological nor political resistance from the West, continues along its present course to disarmament, then to convergence with the West on its own terms, and so to world domination.

In the second, the West realizes in time the nature of the communist threat, solves its own national problems, unites the noncom-munist world, and adopts a policy of open competition between the two systems; as a result, the peoples of the communist bloc repudiate their leaders and the communist empire disintegrates.

The third scenario resembles the second except that both systems remain intact and competition continues for a very long time.

And who shall say that unrelenting competition between two opposing systems of government, each secured by the nuclear deter- rent, would not prove fruitful? But where are the statesmen who will recognize this path to possible safety and guide their peoples along it?”

—Anatoliy Golitsyn

Expand full comment

Communism is not able to dominate the world. Communism failed in Russia and it failed in China.

What people fail to understand about Communist regimes is they last about 10-15 years, after which the government reverts to the prior mode of authoritarianism.

As Stalin secured his hold on power in Soviet Russia, his use of state power was more resembling Tsarist Russia than the radical government envisioned by Lenin or even the state of permanent revolution articulated by Trotsky. The reason Stalin had Trotsky assassinated in 1940 was because Trotsky was articulating all the ways Stalin betrayed the Revolution.

After Mao came to power in 1949, he came to embrace the Legalism ideology of Qin Shi Huang, the first Emperor of a unified China. Mao would even brag how his regime outpaced Qin Shi Huang in terms of tyrannical bloodshed.

Pol Pot and his genocidal "Year Zero" campaign in Cambodia came to an abrupt end when the Vietnamese Army invaded and booted his Khmer Rouge from power.

Communism has never displayed the political stability of either monarchial autocracy or western style republican democracy, and is simply not capable of dominating even a single country for any length of time.

Western democracy might collapse on its own, but what will follow will not be Communism, but simply civilizational collapse. The "Great Reset" will be a reversion to the pre industrial era.

Expand full comment