The 40th day after someone’s death is a signature moment in Iranian culture, an important part of their rituals of mourning and grief. The 40th day after Mahsa Amini’s death has been a signature moment in Iranian current events, as protesters have marked the occasion with marches and gatherings across the country
It's a big world--and what happens in one part of the world rarely stays in that part of the world.
If the Tehran regime falls, that will be a tectonic shift in the geopolitical situation in the Middle East, and also a tremendous shift in oil flows worldwide. While the exact economic impacts of regime change in Iran cannot be quantified at this time, given the significance of Middle Eastern oil flows to the global economy, they are not going to be small.
If the degree of Iranian military aid that is going to Russia is anything such as being reported in the media (and the propaganda on all sides of the Ukrainian conflict is off the charts, meaning every corporate media report has to be taken with a grain of salt), regime change in Iran could have significant impacts on that conflict as well--and we already know from downed drones that Russia is using Iranian drones.
It is far too soon to say with certainty that there will be regime change soon in Iran, unless the reports of officials fleeing Iran are true--if that is the case then the regime is already in a death spiral.
I appreciate your reports from elsewhere than the US.
It's a big world--and what happens in one part of the world rarely stays in that part of the world.
If the Tehran regime falls, that will be a tectonic shift in the geopolitical situation in the Middle East, and also a tremendous shift in oil flows worldwide. While the exact economic impacts of regime change in Iran cannot be quantified at this time, given the significance of Middle Eastern oil flows to the global economy, they are not going to be small.
If the degree of Iranian military aid that is going to Russia is anything such as being reported in the media (and the propaganda on all sides of the Ukrainian conflict is off the charts, meaning every corporate media report has to be taken with a grain of salt), regime change in Iran could have significant impacts on that conflict as well--and we already know from downed drones that Russia is using Iranian drones.
It is far too soon to say with certainty that there will be regime change soon in Iran, unless the reports of officials fleeing Iran are true--if that is the case then the regime is already in a death spiral.
Absolutely, if the rats are leaving the ship is sinking.
I guess that the administrators will have assets off-shore, unlike the average citizen.