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JD Wangler's avatar

How might illegals be impacting the numbers? Anyone credible looking at that?

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Peter Nayland Kust's avatar

Quantifying the impact of illegal immigration on employment directly is a bit of a challenge.

Strictly speaking, there should be no impact, as it is a violation of federal law for employers to knowingly hire illegal aliens.

That being said, the BLS' demographic data makes a compelling case that native US citizens are being disadvantaged in labor markets relative to immigrant labor. This was something I explored last fall during the election.

https://newsletter.allfactsmatter.us/p/bidenomics-is-working-for-whom

We need to be careful not to extrapolate the data farther than can be logically sustained. The demographic data is not absolute proof that illegal immigration is having a deleterious effect on labor markets. However, the impact of immigrant labor overall certainly opens the door to questions about whether or not illegal immigration is impacting labor markets.

With the numbers of people who have entered the country illegally in recent years, it is probable that illegal immigration is having a statistically significant impact on employment in this country. I'm not sure there is a reliable measurement of that impact, however.

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Gbill7's avatar

Bless you for giving us hard data, Peter. But, a discrepancy of 102,000 jobs seems like a big gap. Is this normal, or essentially proof of Lou Costello math?

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