Thank you for putting this swift timeline of events together. 🗺️ Lord, have mercy......📯🇹🇷🐪🌴✨⛪☦️🕊️
On this ⚜️ Feast of 🌐 🎅🏽 ⚓ 🌙 Saint Nicholas the Wonderworker, the focus should be upon our spiritual journey to Bethlehem instead of war, death 💀⚰️ and earthly power. Sometimes, weeks (or hours⏰) matter!
Good synopsis of a fast moving situation. For what it’s worth I saw a video of government troops actually shooting down a rebel drone. In the subsequent allah akbaring, one of the soldiers almost blew his friends head off due to poor trigger and muzzle discipline. If this is indicative of the equipment and training of Assads forces I’d wager that regime collapse is possible.
Thank you for all this, Peter. I’ve been perplexed at how little the mainstream media has covered this; you’d think this would be huge front-page headlines. Surely the MSM can see how significant these events are, and how the outcome could change the entire equation of the Middle East? I have so many questions. What does Saudi Arabia think of this, and the Houthis, and factions in Lebanon? Are they showing signs of taking sides, of lending assistance? Is Israel going to take advantage of this opportunity to strike at Hezbollah? Not that I expect you to have any answers, Peter - I just expect the MSM to be analyzing the possibilities! You seem to be one of the few people smart enough to see the implications.
The Saudis likely are not too concerned about events in Syria, other than that anything which undermines Iran is going to make the Saudis happy. Saudi has been in competition with Iran for hegemony over the Persian Gulf, and a setback for Iran in Syria is a plus for them.
The Houthis are wholly disconnected from events in Syria. Their feigned "anger" at Israel has been little more than a posture and an excuse to attack Israel and supposed supporters of Israel with their missile launches into the Red Sea.
Hezbollah in Lebanon has already come out strongly in support of Syria--which is to be expected as Hezbollah is also supported by Iran. But Hezbollah can offer only limited support these days, given the thrashing they've received at the hands of the IDF.
This really doesn't open up any fresh opportunities for Israel to strike at Hezbollah, but it does mean that if Israel winds up in control of southern Lebanon there aren't many players left in the region likely to object much. HTS might not be happy with it, and Turkey might be similarly unimpressed, but until HTS gets control over the whole of Syria--or until the various rebel forces divvy up Syria--there's no much they can do about it.
Where this could end up, however, is that with Hamas and Hezbollah weakened, and with Iran weakened, Israel might get a chance to resume talks with Saudi Arabia about acceding to the Abraham Accords. If Saudi Arabia signs up to the Abraham Accords then the power balance in the Middle East shifts almost completely away from Iran. Saudi Arabia is big enough that it would give most of the rest of the Middle Eastern states cover to likewise accede to the Accords.
Events in the Middle East could be about to take a hard turn, although in which direction is still up in the air.
You are indeed insightful! So, if it evolves to an actual war between Iran and Turkey, how would the Arab world react? On the one hand, they have an ancient hatred for the Persians (Iran). On the other hand, they have an ancient hatred for Turkey (Ottoman Empire). Would you expect that the Arab world would just sit back and watch their longstanding enemies destroy each other? Or would some Arab countries jump into the fray, in order to exploit opportunities for additional territory and regional influence?
Thank you for putting this swift timeline of events together. 🗺️ Lord, have mercy......📯🇹🇷🐪🌴✨⛪☦️🕊️
On this ⚜️ Feast of 🌐 🎅🏽 ⚓ 🌙 Saint Nicholas the Wonderworker, the focus should be upon our spiritual journey to Bethlehem instead of war, death 💀⚰️ and earthly power. Sometimes, weeks (or hours⏰) matter!
Good synopsis of a fast moving situation. For what it’s worth I saw a video of government troops actually shooting down a rebel drone. In the subsequent allah akbaring, one of the soldiers almost blew his friends head off due to poor trigger and muzzle discipline. If this is indicative of the equipment and training of Assads forces I’d wager that regime collapse is possible.
Thank you for all this, Peter. I’ve been perplexed at how little the mainstream media has covered this; you’d think this would be huge front-page headlines. Surely the MSM can see how significant these events are, and how the outcome could change the entire equation of the Middle East? I have so many questions. What does Saudi Arabia think of this, and the Houthis, and factions in Lebanon? Are they showing signs of taking sides, of lending assistance? Is Israel going to take advantage of this opportunity to strike at Hezbollah? Not that I expect you to have any answers, Peter - I just expect the MSM to be analyzing the possibilities! You seem to be one of the few people smart enough to see the implications.
The Saudis likely are not too concerned about events in Syria, other than that anything which undermines Iran is going to make the Saudis happy. Saudi has been in competition with Iran for hegemony over the Persian Gulf, and a setback for Iran in Syria is a plus for them.
The Houthis are wholly disconnected from events in Syria. Their feigned "anger" at Israel has been little more than a posture and an excuse to attack Israel and supposed supporters of Israel with their missile launches into the Red Sea.
Hezbollah in Lebanon has already come out strongly in support of Syria--which is to be expected as Hezbollah is also supported by Iran. But Hezbollah can offer only limited support these days, given the thrashing they've received at the hands of the IDF.
This really doesn't open up any fresh opportunities for Israel to strike at Hezbollah, but it does mean that if Israel winds up in control of southern Lebanon there aren't many players left in the region likely to object much. HTS might not be happy with it, and Turkey might be similarly unimpressed, but until HTS gets control over the whole of Syria--or until the various rebel forces divvy up Syria--there's no much they can do about it.
Where this could end up, however, is that with Hamas and Hezbollah weakened, and with Iran weakened, Israel might get a chance to resume talks with Saudi Arabia about acceding to the Abraham Accords. If Saudi Arabia signs up to the Abraham Accords then the power balance in the Middle East shifts almost completely away from Iran. Saudi Arabia is big enough that it would give most of the rest of the Middle Eastern states cover to likewise accede to the Accords.
Events in the Middle East could be about to take a hard turn, although in which direction is still up in the air.
You are indeed insightful! So, if it evolves to an actual war between Iran and Turkey, how would the Arab world react? On the one hand, they have an ancient hatred for the Persians (Iran). On the other hand, they have an ancient hatred for Turkey (Ottoman Empire). Would you expect that the Arab world would just sit back and watch their longstanding enemies destroy each other? Or would some Arab countries jump into the fray, in order to exploit opportunities for additional territory and regional influence?
Absolutely 📯 up in the air 🫣😬🤔🔃