Peter, you reported this morning that Kuwait, the UAE, and Bahrain have all been fired upon by Iran since the ceasefire agreement. Aren’t these attacks considered breaches of the ceasefire?
I think some of the outcomes, and it is already happening, is opening fossil fuel exploration in Europe and Asia and Asia Pacific. Pipelines and maybe rail infrastructure to circumvent choke points. Countries seeking alternatives to the Middle East. More storage capacity, building processing for petrochemical products closer to home. I suspect lots of countries are considering all kinds of changes.
It’s unclear whether this ceasefire will even start, let alone whether it will hold. Missiles and bombs kept flying in all directions all night and all day. Iran has just stated no ceasefire without a Lebanon ceasefire.
The problem of course is that the US is unable to negotiate or de-escalate without Israeli permission. Israel holds a permanent veto over US foreign policy.
I think a LOT of experts correctly predicted that Trump would bluster and then TACO. This was the mother of all blusters, followed by the mother of all TACOs.
This is so crazy, and unless the nuclear option is nuked there is no safety, and where are the cries for all the citizens being slaughtered in Iran? So horrible. It's far from over, according to Amir Tsarfati who has quick intel before any headlines https://tlgrm.eu/channels/@beholdisraelchannel
"China and Russia at the UN announced their intention to provide extensive aid to Iran within the next 24 hours, claiming that it is assistance for the country's reconstruction and not for the arms industry. However, according to reports in the Russian media, China has already sent 3 cargo ships carrying weapons, while Russian military aid planes are currently on their way to Isfahan. And military aid planes from Belarus are on their way to Tehran!"
Thank God for Israel and that we support them, and God have mercy on us, I am thankful but I'm also sad - so what was the point - we did not achieve any significant and meaningful objectives?
Ultimately, the butchery of the people of Iran has to be addressed by the people of Iran. If they do not find a way to replace the regime, is it really the task of the rest of the world to do it for them?
China presumably rearmed Iran after the Twelve Day War. Those arms did not have any meaningful impact this time, nor did the Russian weapons during the Twelve Day War.
Has anything been achieved? Trump will say yes, and those who oppose Trump will say no.
Will the ceasefire turn into lasting peace for the region? It could.
Will Russia and China exploit an opportunity? They will try.
What's next? Nobody knows, even those who insist otherwise.
Peter, you reported this morning that Kuwait, the UAE, and Bahrain have all been fired upon by Iran since the ceasefire agreement. Aren’t these attacks considered breaches of the ceasefire?
Strictly speaking, yes.
However, it is probably prudent to believe those attacks occurred before some IRGC units received their stand down orders, whether they did or not.
Why the entire free world is not fully behind destroying the Iranian regime is beyond me. Makes me despair for humanity.
I think some of the outcomes, and it is already happening, is opening fossil fuel exploration in Europe and Asia and Asia Pacific. Pipelines and maybe rail infrastructure to circumvent choke points. Countries seeking alternatives to the Middle East. More storage capacity, building processing for petrochemical products closer to home. I suspect lots of countries are considering all kinds of changes.
This could prove the catalyst for a lot of change. Some of it is probably long overdue.
It's going to be some time before we can see the full scope of those changes.
It’s unclear whether this ceasefire will even start, let alone whether it will hold. Missiles and bombs kept flying in all directions all night and all day. Iran has just stated no ceasefire without a Lebanon ceasefire.
The problem of course is that the US is unable to negotiate or de-escalate without Israeli permission. Israel holds a permanent veto over US foreign policy.
"It's unclear".
Exactly. This is what the fog of war looks like.
I think a LOT of experts correctly predicted that Trump would bluster and then TACO. This was the mother of all blusters, followed by the mother of all TACOs.
Because war is always preferable to peace?
Hating Trump is not hardly analytical.
This is so crazy, and unless the nuclear option is nuked there is no safety, and where are the cries for all the citizens being slaughtered in Iran? So horrible. It's far from over, according to Amir Tsarfati who has quick intel before any headlines https://tlgrm.eu/channels/@beholdisraelchannel
"China and Russia at the UN announced their intention to provide extensive aid to Iran within the next 24 hours, claiming that it is assistance for the country's reconstruction and not for the arms industry. However, according to reports in the Russian media, China has already sent 3 cargo ships carrying weapons, while Russian military aid planes are currently on their way to Isfahan. And military aid planes from Belarus are on their way to Tehran!"
Thank God for Israel and that we support them, and God have mercy on us, I am thankful but I'm also sad - so what was the point - we did not achieve any significant and meaningful objectives?
Ultimately, the butchery of the people of Iran has to be addressed by the people of Iran. If they do not find a way to replace the regime, is it really the task of the rest of the world to do it for them?
China presumably rearmed Iran after the Twelve Day War. Those arms did not have any meaningful impact this time, nor did the Russian weapons during the Twelve Day War.
Has anything been achieved? Trump will say yes, and those who oppose Trump will say no.
Will the ceasefire turn into lasting peace for the region? It could.
Will Russia and China exploit an opportunity? They will try.
What's next? Nobody knows, even those who insist otherwise.