Not quite sure that this will be the end of the Islamic republic, after all, Persia/Iran has been around since Biblical times. Not sure exactly what the end goal is here and I wonder if Trump, himself even knows, since he has a history of changing on a daily basis. Is he just doing Bibi's bidding? After all he just said that ending Iran war will be ‘mutual’ decision with Netanyahu. So we kind of know who is really giving the marching orders here. And he met with Netanyahu several times over the past few months.
Most Americans, last I read: 75% of them, do not want a war with Iran, especially if it is for the greater expansion of Zionist Israel. Many will say that Iran is a terrorist country. I won't get into their history since the1920s that show how coups and regime changes by the U.S. have caused this, but there's plenty of info out there on it. One just has to do the research, of which I have linked lately @https://nothingnewunderthesun2016.com/
So what's the real reason for going to war here. Netanyahu has claimed for 40 years or more that Iran has been getting close to getting nukes. Seriously?? By 40 years they would have had them by now. So that perspective is a crock. Besides, no one say "Jack" about Israel having nukes. Why is that? "Ok for me but not for thee". Same goes with any other country that already has nukes. Will we attack North Korea as well? Isn't it common sense that if a country that doesn't like you has nukes, you might want some too as a deterrent. Besides, according to the Trumpster we took all those capabilities out with last years strike.
So is this really a play against China, in Trumps bid to restore the U.S. empire and have global dominance? We are doing regime changes in Venezuela and now Iran, both exporters of oil to China. Perhaps this is the real go and has nothing to do with nukes and terrorism.
“Chris Wright may think there’s not an oil shortage now. Would he still think that if Iran’s oil spigot were permanently turned off?”
Perhaps. Unless he knows there is excess capacity available from other oil producing nations ready to pick up the slack. Given that 90% of Iran’s oil went to China, how big a lift is it?
And I believe whoever ends up in charge of Iran is going to preside over a declining nation that is relatively powerless. They will be on notice that any attempt to reconstitute their nuke program, rebuild their missiles and drones, fund terrorists, etc. will be met with another round of strikes.
Excellent analysis, Peter. Much to think about.2 observations of mine.
When the bombing stops, will Iran be able to repair the damage to their petrochemical industry? Personnel with expertise and equipment along with finances will need to be obtained to repair the damage. Can they source it? I don’t see Iran having much of either.
Regarding the Iranian population effecting regime change; the ordinary people are disarmed and not able to effectively able to challenge the Basij militias and IRGC troops. Can they at least obtain small arms? Slim chance they could obtain "battlefield pickups"; even so, they need ammo.
What a ton of research you’ve done in order to get a clear picture of what’s going on - thank you, Peter! And of course, in this fog of war the only truth is “we don’t know - yet”. With so much speculation, rumor, and narrative, I appreciate your objectivity.
One thing I’m pondering is if Trump is going to deliberately allow oil prices to remain high until Cuba, China, or Zelensky are destabilized to the point of change. We’ll see!
Peter, if you have time, I’m interested in your assessment of what this Substack author wrote two days ago. Lawyer Jeff Childers is an unabashed Trump supporter and eternal optimist, as this post shows. Is he missing something?
Not quite sure that this will be the end of the Islamic republic, after all, Persia/Iran has been around since Biblical times. Not sure exactly what the end goal is here and I wonder if Trump, himself even knows, since he has a history of changing on a daily basis. Is he just doing Bibi's bidding? After all he just said that ending Iran war will be ‘mutual’ decision with Netanyahu. So we kind of know who is really giving the marching orders here. And he met with Netanyahu several times over the past few months.
Most Americans, last I read: 75% of them, do not want a war with Iran, especially if it is for the greater expansion of Zionist Israel. Many will say that Iran is a terrorist country. I won't get into their history since the1920s that show how coups and regime changes by the U.S. have caused this, but there's plenty of info out there on it. One just has to do the research, of which I have linked lately @https://nothingnewunderthesun2016.com/
So what's the real reason for going to war here. Netanyahu has claimed for 40 years or more that Iran has been getting close to getting nukes. Seriously?? By 40 years they would have had them by now. So that perspective is a crock. Besides, no one say "Jack" about Israel having nukes. Why is that? "Ok for me but not for thee". Same goes with any other country that already has nukes. Will we attack North Korea as well? Isn't it common sense that if a country that doesn't like you has nukes, you might want some too as a deterrent. Besides, according to the Trumpster we took all those capabilities out with last years strike.
So is this really a play against China, in Trumps bid to restore the U.S. empire and have global dominance? We are doing regime changes in Venezuela and now Iran, both exporters of oil to China. Perhaps this is the real go and has nothing to do with nukes and terrorism.
“Chris Wright may think there’s not an oil shortage now. Would he still think that if Iran’s oil spigot were permanently turned off?”
Perhaps. Unless he knows there is excess capacity available from other oil producing nations ready to pick up the slack. Given that 90% of Iran’s oil went to China, how big a lift is it?
And I believe whoever ends up in charge of Iran is going to preside over a declining nation that is relatively powerless. They will be on notice that any attempt to reconstitute their nuke program, rebuild their missiles and drones, fund terrorists, etc. will be met with another round of strikes.
Excellent analysis, Peter. Much to think about.2 observations of mine.
When the bombing stops, will Iran be able to repair the damage to their petrochemical industry? Personnel with expertise and equipment along with finances will need to be obtained to repair the damage. Can they source it? I don’t see Iran having much of either.
Regarding the Iranian population effecting regime change; the ordinary people are disarmed and not able to effectively able to challenge the Basij militias and IRGC troops. Can they at least obtain small arms? Slim chance they could obtain "battlefield pickups"; even so, they need ammo.
What a ton of research you’ve done in order to get a clear picture of what’s going on - thank you, Peter! And of course, in this fog of war the only truth is “we don’t know - yet”. With so much speculation, rumor, and narrative, I appreciate your objectivity.
One thing I’m pondering is if Trump is going to deliberately allow oil prices to remain high until Cuba, China, or Zelensky are destabilized to the point of change. We’ll see!
Peter, if you have time, I’m interested in your assessment of what this Substack author wrote two days ago. Lawyer Jeff Childers is an unabashed Trump supporter and eternal optimist, as this post shows. Is he missing something?
https://coffeeandcovid.substack.com/p/gentlemens-agreements-sunday-march?utm_campaign=post&utm_medium=email