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Quick update: The BBC now admits that it made a mistake in regurgitating the Hamas propaganda on the Al Ahli Hospital blast.

https://www.independent.co.uk/news/uk/bbc-news-bbc-gaza-grant-shapps-palestinian-b2432797.html

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The media is a huge problem!

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Here is my analysis of the videos and photos of the damage. With one potential exception, I think they are consistent with a Palestinian Islamic Jihad rocket failing during launch. https://chrishedges.substack.com/p/israels-culture-of-deceit/comment/42102181

That exception is the video through the fence with the sound of the projectile going overhead. The pitch rises and then falls, indicating a relatively horizontal path over the head of the camera operator. This is hard for me to reconcile with part of the rocket falling from the sky, but it is possible, since the launch trajectory has a significant horizontal component. I couldn't exactly geolocate that video, but the south-south-west alignment of the slanting solar panels on the roof (0:07) are consistent with it being a video of the hospital explosion, with the camera to be to the *east* of the explosion, judging by the leftwards pointing solar panel array (I assume) on the building. However, it is not out of the question that video had been altered to reverse left and right. If if was not reversed, then the projectile which caused the explosion came from the east - from the direction of Israel, which is at odds with the hypothesis of it being caused by a part of a rocket which was launched from the west of the hospital.

I have no expertise in these matters and I assume the rocket failed of its own accord, rather than being hit by an Iron Dome missile. As far as I know, such missiles only intercept rockets close to their batteries, and this rocket failed seconds after launch. Also, any such missile would be visible, since its motor would be running (AFAIK) during final intercept.

Again, I am no expert in any of these matters, but here are some observations. Hamas was supported, at least in 2019, by the Israeli government https://armageddonprose.substack.com/p/bibi-netanyahu-in-2019-israel-must precisely to divide the Palestinian people and weaken the chances for a peaceful settlement.

The launch of the rockets from the coast, south-west of Gaza City was arguably PIJ/Hamas using the civilian population as a shield. The launch site was as far as possible from the targets in Israel, without going further south - and further south would have put the site no longer behind (to the west of) the most densely populated part of Gaza.

The attack by Hamas etc. suits the current Israeli government's (or part thereof) desire to move all the Palestinians (except "Hamas", however defined) out of Gaza - see the end of my comment for an interview which shows this - to Egypt, not Israel, which would make it easy for them to destroy "Hamas" and homes, infrastructure, government buildings, hospitals etc.

Assuming this explosion was caused by a failed rocket launch, then all those Palestinian supporters who over-estimated the death toll and or the severity of damage to the hospital, and/or who kept stating that the explosion was caused by an Israeli missile, are forwarding the Zionist cause by behaving in ways which are overly critical of Israel and so (as some would argue, not necessarily correctly) Jews in general, so providing support for the Israeli government's arguments for eradicating Hamas and/or pushing Palestinians out of the territory they regard as Greater Israel.

Al Jazeera has now reported that a French intelligence agency concluded it was not an Israeli attack: https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2023/10/21/french-intel-says-palestinian-rocket-likely-cause-of-gaza-hospital-blast . Some of their reporting, at least later, was open about the cause of the blast: https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2023/10/20/what-have-open-source-videos-revealed-about-the-gaza-hospital-explosion. I am just now watching their earlier video of the evidence: https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2023/10/18/what-do-we-know-about-the-strike-on-the-hospital-in-gaza . However, it doesn't add anything to the videos I mentioned.

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