Agreed, again, Peter, and this gives me a bad feeling in my gut, as if it will cause the Chinese leaders to save face by trying to cover it up with a Taiwan invasion, right when we're enmeshed with the Middle East conundrum, because Israel was demonstrating against their leader about the bad vax impacts, so who knows if this quickly roll…
Agreed, again, Peter, and this gives me a bad feeling in my gut, as if it will cause the Chinese leaders to save face by trying to cover it up with a Taiwan invasion, right when we're enmeshed with the Middle East conundrum, because Israel was demonstrating against their leader about the bad vax impacts, so who knows if this quickly rolls downhill into World War 3, while I watch helplessly...so upsetting!
It's a cold comfort, but WW3 is far more likely to be triggered by Iran than China.
One strategic reality Xi Jinping cannot ignore: 75% of China's oil comes through the Malacca Strait. China does not have any blue water naval capacity to defend the Strait, which means any war between China and the US or India causes China to deindustrialize in 9-12 months and very likely suffers a crippling famine at about 18 months. Two years after China invades Taiwan the CCP ceases to exist.
Agreed, again, Peter, and this gives me a bad feeling in my gut, as if it will cause the Chinese leaders to save face by trying to cover it up with a Taiwan invasion, right when we're enmeshed with the Middle East conundrum, because Israel was demonstrating against their leader about the bad vax impacts, so who knows if this quickly rolls downhill into World War 3, while I watch helplessly...so upsetting!
It's a cold comfort, but WW3 is far more likely to be triggered by Iran than China.
One strategic reality Xi Jinping cannot ignore: 75% of China's oil comes through the Malacca Strait. China does not have any blue water naval capacity to defend the Strait, which means any war between China and the US or India causes China to deindustrialize in 9-12 months and very likely suffers a crippling famine at about 18 months. Two years after China invades Taiwan the CCP ceases to exist.