Really great post. I admire you're ability to write and lay out the information Peter.
Personally, I believe your last point is likely to be the issue here. Like with everything there's likely to be a critical period in a child's developing years where exposure to antigens and exogenous substances are vital to creating a trained, complex immune system that can differentiate between the innocuous and the truly pathogenic. Unfortunately, the sterile environment many children have been living in has not provided children, and really many people in general, the foundations to create an antifragile immune system.
I think the only way to really figure this out will be to see if rates of allergies or autoimmune disease increase in the coming months/years.
The narrative hook came strictly by accident. I was doing a survey of the current hepatitis stories and that doctor just cavalierly saying "there's so much gastroenteritis going around" was something of a "huh?" moment. Modern society with modern sanitation and modern hygiene shouldn't be having that much gastroenteritis.
So I started digging into that and, sure enough, the rates of gastroenteritis are way off the charts.
The rest of the article just fell into place at that point. People just shouldn't be that sick that much.
As a recovering cost accountant, I'm a numbers guy. I look at stats, and trends, and figure out what they're saying. And you're right... this is not a good prognosis for the up and coming generation. Their immune systems are seriously distorted and unbalanced, and Lord only knows if a return to equilibrium is even possible for them.
I do wonder if gastroenteritis may be linked to some gut dysbiosis since there's a very strong link between gut microbiome and immune health. As it relates to dealing with the issue, I think it depends on how long this whole sterility hysteria will last, and whether people will actually take into account the virtues of getting dirty every now and then, or really doing anything to improve overall health.
I think it's rather frustrating that we are more than 2 years into this thing, we know full well that obesity is a big factor in overall ill health, and I doubt that many Americans have changed their overall eating and lifestyle habits.
I believe there is a broad correlation that can be established between the state of the gut microbiome and GI issues. I don't think the correlation is necessarily causal for gastroenteritis, given the specific pathogens identified as being causative agents, but the capacity to ward off and minimize such conditions is going to be heavily influenced by the intestinal flora.
It is absolutely absurd, as well as unconscionable, that the "experts" at the CDC and FDA, agencies explicitly charged with using science to reach reasoned conclusions about how best to advance the public's health, completely fail to address the significance good nutrition has in disease immunity of any kind.
By far the approaches most strongly recommended by actual scientific data for containing the SARS-CoV-2 virus is to encourage overall good health in people. And yet we hear not a word about that from the "experts".
You know, in late late 2019, I took Tam to the hospital for 2 days in a row with suspected pancreatitis, which she has had a couple of bouts with before.
On the second visit, the promethazine and tramadol had given her pretty good relief, and the Doc said "It's not pancreatitis from the lab results, probably a virus."
I followed him out the door, and remarked "We're not talking about a norovirus here, are we Doc?"
"I'm afraid not, and we are starting to see it a lot, I'm sorry, I've got to go on." he said.
However, the CDC also believes lockdowns are a good idea. Which they are not, for a variety of reasons, not just the potential for immunological harm.
But, to clarify: I don't rule out the inoculations as a potential causative agent. Spike protein shedding and transfer via breast milk are proven phenomena.
Breast milk is unlikely, as most of the cases involve children beyond the common age range for breastfeeding, particularly in the US.
Mutated pathogens are a possibility, but for multiple adenovirus type 41 variants to mutate and not be detected even by partial genomic sequencing is unlikely.
Spike protein shedding is a possibility, but given the inoculations trigger hepatitis across the whole spectrum of ages that is at odds with a concentration of cases in young children -- who generally do NOT get hepatitis.
None of these are ruled out, and I would not be terribly surprised if evidence emerged that sent a strong signal towards any of them. As of the last time I read up on this topic, however, such evidence simply had not emerged.
At the present time, the lockdowns are the best explanation for the data we have. But in no way shape or form are the inoculations affirmatively excluded. For now they are the least likely cause, in my estimation. What the evidence will show when I circle back around to this topic (as you might have noticed, I write about a range of issues!) is always an unanswered question in the moment.
Nor are the inoculations exonerated on the broader question of immunological damage. As I argued in my last Paxlovid rebound article, that's got an extremely strong signal just in the case data.
Really great post, I like how you clearly communicate possibilities and probabilities. 👍🏽💕
Thanks!
Really great post. I admire you're ability to write and lay out the information Peter.
Personally, I believe your last point is likely to be the issue here. Like with everything there's likely to be a critical period in a child's developing years where exposure to antigens and exogenous substances are vital to creating a trained, complex immune system that can differentiate between the innocuous and the truly pathogenic. Unfortunately, the sterile environment many children have been living in has not provided children, and really many people in general, the foundations to create an antifragile immune system.
I think the only way to really figure this out will be to see if rates of allergies or autoimmune disease increase in the coming months/years.
Thanks. You are most kind.
The narrative hook came strictly by accident. I was doing a survey of the current hepatitis stories and that doctor just cavalierly saying "there's so much gastroenteritis going around" was something of a "huh?" moment. Modern society with modern sanitation and modern hygiene shouldn't be having that much gastroenteritis.
So I started digging into that and, sure enough, the rates of gastroenteritis are way off the charts.
The rest of the article just fell into place at that point. People just shouldn't be that sick that much.
As a recovering cost accountant, I'm a numbers guy. I look at stats, and trends, and figure out what they're saying. And you're right... this is not a good prognosis for the up and coming generation. Their immune systems are seriously distorted and unbalanced, and Lord only knows if a return to equilibrium is even possible for them.
I do wonder if gastroenteritis may be linked to some gut dysbiosis since there's a very strong link between gut microbiome and immune health. As it relates to dealing with the issue, I think it depends on how long this whole sterility hysteria will last, and whether people will actually take into account the virtues of getting dirty every now and then, or really doing anything to improve overall health.
I think it's rather frustrating that we are more than 2 years into this thing, we know full well that obesity is a big factor in overall ill health, and I doubt that many Americans have changed their overall eating and lifestyle habits.
I believe there is a broad correlation that can be established between the state of the gut microbiome and GI issues. I don't think the correlation is necessarily causal for gastroenteritis, given the specific pathogens identified as being causative agents, but the capacity to ward off and minimize such conditions is going to be heavily influenced by the intestinal flora.
It is absolutely absurd, as well as unconscionable, that the "experts" at the CDC and FDA, agencies explicitly charged with using science to reach reasoned conclusions about how best to advance the public's health, completely fail to address the significance good nutrition has in disease immunity of any kind.
In addition to the obvious benefits adequate vitamin D and zinc have in warding off SARS-CoV-2 infection (https://allfactsmatter.substack.com/p/vitamin-d-the-real-magic-bullet-against), the comorbidities which influence the severity and outcome of SARS-CoV-2 infection also indicate a level of immune system dysfunction (https://allfactsmatter.substack.com/p/stick-a-fork-in-the-experts-theyre?s=w).
By far the approaches most strongly recommended by actual scientific data for containing the SARS-CoV-2 virus is to encourage overall good health in people. And yet we hear not a word about that from the "experts".
You know, in late late 2019, I took Tam to the hospital for 2 days in a row with suspected pancreatitis, which she has had a couple of bouts with before.
On the second visit, the promethazine and tramadol had given her pretty good relief, and the Doc said "It's not pancreatitis from the lab results, probably a virus."
I followed him out the door, and remarked "We're not talking about a norovirus here, are we Doc?"
"I'm afraid not, and we are starting to see it a lot, I'm sorry, I've got to go on." he said.
Re: Hepatitis: Wondering if there is a cover story in the works:
https://www.fda.gov/food/outbreaks-foodborne-illness/outbreak-investigation-hepatitis-virus-strawberries-may-2022
Not likely, at least not from strawberries.
Hepatitis A virus is both a known pathogen and affirmatively excluded from the pediatric cases.
Media misdirection is always a possibility, but that story just ain't it.
I'm skeptical of the CDC, period.
However, the CDC also believes lockdowns are a good idea. Which they are not, for a variety of reasons, not just the potential for immunological harm.
But, to clarify: I don't rule out the inoculations as a potential causative agent. Spike protein shedding and transfer via breast milk are proven phenomena.
Breast milk is unlikely, as most of the cases involve children beyond the common age range for breastfeeding, particularly in the US.
Mutated pathogens are a possibility, but for multiple adenovirus type 41 variants to mutate and not be detected even by partial genomic sequencing is unlikely.
Spike protein shedding is a possibility, but given the inoculations trigger hepatitis across the whole spectrum of ages that is at odds with a concentration of cases in young children -- who generally do NOT get hepatitis.
None of these are ruled out, and I would not be terribly surprised if evidence emerged that sent a strong signal towards any of them. As of the last time I read up on this topic, however, such evidence simply had not emerged.
At the present time, the lockdowns are the best explanation for the data we have. But in no way shape or form are the inoculations affirmatively excluded. For now they are the least likely cause, in my estimation. What the evidence will show when I circle back around to this topic (as you might have noticed, I write about a range of issues!) is always an unanswered question in the moment.
Nor are the inoculations exonerated on the broader question of immunological damage. As I argued in my last Paxlovid rebound article, that's got an extremely strong signal just in the case data.