13 Comments
тна Return to thread

Yes, General Armageddon doesn't sound happy. And as a supporter of Putin on this one, I'm not happy either seeing the Russians give ground, whether it's because they are genuinely being beaten or as part of some big plan. Let's wait and see how this plays out, as well as the big reinforcements coming in for the Russians.

Expand full comment

Russia's 220,000 conscripts mobilized this far can't be deployed on the Kherson front in time for Ukraine's next offensive.

Even Putin cannot escape the realities of logistics.

Expand full comment

I agree. And maybe the Ukies will take Kherson. As you point out, these are facts on the ground. However, there are many other facts here. Firstly, Russia has mobilised a large amount of troops. Secondly, many nations are telling their embassy staff to get out of Ukraine. Thirdly, Russia has been knocking out huge chunks of Ukrainian infrastructure just in time for winter. We'll see very soon how all these facts come together.

Expand full comment

Mobilization and deployment are two different things.

Putin has targeted civilian infrastructure but ignored roads and bridges -- the key infrastructures to Ukrainian (not "Ukie", we don't do ethnic slurs on this Substack) logistics.

Militarily, his infrastructure attacks have been a waste of missiles and drones. Resources he apparently doesn't have in abundance, based on his latest "economic mobilization" order.

Expand full comment

I don't quite follow your reasoning here, Peter, if reasoning there is. Do militaries have their own private infrastructure? They too run on electricity and other power sources that the Russkies (there - I've cancelled out my horrible racial slur against the Ukrainian people!) have knocked out. As for mobilization and deployment, I agree that they are two different things. I also agree with you that the recently mobilised troops probably won't be in position to repel any Kherson attack by the Ukies. However, they won't be too long delayed, and then we shall see. I fully admit my biases here, and like most humans, I want to read news that fits in with my hopes and wishes. However, there are equally compelling facts that counter your point of view, and I think you should admit that. I don't pretend to know which will triumph, but I do hope that the Russians' efforts in Eastern Ukraine bring the freedoms to the ethnic Russian population there that were promised by Kiev in the Minsk Declarations. We shall see!

Expand full comment

No ethnic slurs here means no ethnic slurs period. Against anyone. Neither Ukrainian, nor Russian, nor anyone else.

There is no "cancelling out" rank bigotry and I am disinclined to tolerate it on this Substack. I will ask you politely to edit this comment now.

Then we can have a discussion about military strategy. Not before.

Expand full comment

I'm of British origin and often get called a Brit. I call Ukrainians Ukies and Russians Russkies when I feel like it. If you are offended by that, it's your problem. I hope you preserve your obvious moral superiority and sensitivity in the difficult times ahead. Bye!

Expand full comment