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The driver may well have been "blind", in other words clueless what he was carrying or the fact that he was about to be blown to bits.

Ukraine doesn't need to have a sophisticated intelligence apparatus of their own. It's quite clear that most NATO members plus the Five Eyes are more than willing to share their their intelligence with Ukraine.

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Re: The driver. While it is possible the driver was collateral damage, it would be difficult if not impossible to time the explosion so that it would go off right next to a tanker train. That level of precision indicates a manual detonation, either there in the truck or remote line of sight.

With scant evidence, and no evidence to the contrary, it seems to me that a suicide bomber truck driver is the parsimonious explanation here.

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True enough, but with the FSB accusing Ukraine of being the mastermind Putin is, whether he realizes it or not, effectively saying the Ukrainians do have that sort of sophisticated intelligence apparatus.

That may or may not be true. If it's not true and this is a NATO-managed operation (a distinct probability, BTW), then Putin is letting NATO off the hook if he had any proof NATO organized an attack on Russia proper--an act of war by anyone's playbook. That opens up its own can of worms.

Regardless, Putin is facing a situation where nothing within Russia is safe from asymmetric attack.

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